NH Primary Recount Starts Tomorrow

The Secretary of State of New Hampshire has scheduled (PDF) a statewide recount of the paper ballots beginning on Wednesday, January 16, because presidential candidates Democrat Dennis Kucinich and Republican Albert Howard requested it.

Let’s review the problem of the New Hampshire Primary vote-counting discrepancy.

  • About 80% of New Hampshire ballots were counted by Diebold/Premier optical scanning machines without any post-election manual audits to verify the machine count accuracy.
  • The news media told us the polls were wrong, both the pre-election polls and the exit polls that showed Obama with an eight percent win over Clinton.
  • Media reports hypothesized theories for why Clinton beat Obama in New Hampshire including:
    1. The “Bradley effect” (closet racism) caused people to lie to pollsters
    2. Clinton’s “tears” reported in the media brought women voters out
    3. The “good weather” theory
    4. Independents abandoned Obama to vote for McCain in the GOP primary
    5. Undecided voters suddenly decided to vote for Hillary

    Everything except the “electronic miscount” theory.

New Hampshire’s Diebold/Premier machine-counted votes reversed the outcome, according to the National Election Data Archive. The reversal of the machine and hand counts is consistent with programming errors counting votes cast for Obama, for Clinton and votes cast for Clinton, for Obama.

The National Election Data Archive examined Clinton and Obama vote shares out of votes cast only for Obama and Clinton. Overall, Clinton’s hand count share of such votes is 47.07% to Obama’s 52.93% share and a virtually exact reverse pattern occurs with machine counts where
Clinton’s share is 52.95% to Obama’s 47.05%.

A statistical analysis of New Hampshire’s Democratic primary by the National Election Data Archive rules out precinct-size and seems to rule out demographic factors as possible causes for the reversal of Obama and Clinton’s machine and hand-counted results; and shows that the pattern is consistent with vote miscount favoring Clinton.

Americans must have a transparent election process that uses paper ballots and mandatory post-election vote count audits.

More from Kirsten Anderson on HuffPo.

Ironically, a U.S.-sponsored exit poll is being cited as evidence the recent Kenyan election was rigged.

UPDATE: On AlterNet, Steven Rosenfeld reports that Hillary’s campaign pressured New Hampshire poll workers to remove observers stationed by the Obama campaign. These volunteers had intended to track voters as part of their get-out-the-vote effort.

  1. #1 by Misty Fowler on January 15, 2008 - 9:37 am

    Yay! I’m glad to see this. Kucinich’s argument was correct. Americans should be able to have faith in their voting process. Of course, I don’t (and won’t) have faith in Diebold, so I really hope to see something major come from this, besides Barack being show the real winner.

  2. #2 by Larry Bergan on January 15, 2008 - 3:59 pm

    So the US is using tax payer money to conduct exit polls in Kenya too, just like they did in Keiv during the 2004 elections and balking when the results didn’t match the “official” outcomes. Then the media reports on the foreign travesty while ignoring probable problems on secretly programmed machines that have been proven to be hackable many times in America AND ADJUSTING THE OFFICIAL EXIT POLLS TO MATCH THE MACHINE RESULTS AFTER THE ELECTION WHILE REFUSING TO RELEASE THE ACTUAL EXIT POLL RESULTS, (FACT).

    In fact an honest election official, (Bruce Funk), was illegally removed from his job in Utah and the Utah press gave ALL of the positive press to Diebold.

    I’m going to keep calling them Diebold because of the vast amount of information from the last few years exposing their fraud cannot be found by combining their new name with the old. If there’s any justice or sanity, Premiere won’t be around for long anyway.

    I don’t know why Dennis Kucinich was prevented from participating in the debate tonight, or why Ron Paul was prevented from a debate Rudy Giuliani was allowed to participate in despite the fact Paul placed higher then Giuliani in the believable Iowa outcome. Maybe it’s because Dennis brought up his impeach Cheney bill three times in a previous debate and all Tim Russert wanted to know is if he had seen a UFO years ago. Maybe it was to punish him for making the media cover the issue of election fraud using voting machines, (SOMETHING THEY DO NO WANT TO COVER, EVER, NOT EVER), except, of course, when it happens on foreign soil. ABC purposefully ignored Dennis the first time he brought up this issue many years ago in a debate. Howard Dean has the same concerns and you saw what happened to him.

    How can we continue to have these kinds of elections. The pundits (learned persons) talk endlessly about why the elections go the way they do and never bring this elephant-in-the-living-room, (republican elephant) issue up. This is giving us


    If my suspicions are right about these machines, any work done or monies paid on behalf of your candidate is lost, depending on how honest your election officials are and how careful they are with the chain of custody. With elections starting two years ahead of time now, that’s a lot of busy work, isn’t it.

    Joe Demma, chief of staff in the Office of Lieutenant Governor says people who question the machines are guilty of “juvenile fearmongering.” I would like somebody to tell me what us fearmongers have to gain. I don’t know who the guy is that was arguing with me in the comments section of that article, but I have no idea why anybody would defend these machines. I just don’t. The article was from a couple of years ago when Bruce Funk called in experts to check out Utah’s voting machines and it made national news but not very much local news.

  3. #3 by Richard Warnick on January 15, 2008 - 4:37 pm

    Good news– Kucinich is going to be on tonight’s MSNBC debate unless the network can get the Nevada Supreme Court to overturn the Clark County District Court’s decision.

  4. #4 by Larry Bergan on January 15, 2008 - 5:16 pm

    Well they can’t say the invisible man, (Kucinich), isn’t making news this week!

  5. #5 by Richard Warnick on January 16, 2008 - 8:25 am

    NBC’s lawyers must be pretty good. They got a Nevada Supreme Court ruling to kick Kucinich off the debate less than an hour before air time.

  6. #6 by glenn on January 16, 2008 - 10:16 am

    The machines are very important Larry, they cost tons of money are modern and very well instill the illusion of democracy. That is their job, much like a graven image on the side of a cathedral, or such.

    Old Roman elections were comprised of a circle soldiers, with one entry point. Those voting would be given a rock. There was a pile for yea and nay, biggest pile wins the vote. Of course in those days the only people that were citizens were Legionnaires, everyone else was a slave apart from the elite.

    Kucinich is too short to be president.

  7. #7 by Larry Bergan on January 16, 2008 - 10:59 am

    MSNBC must have considered Kucinich to be a pretty big threat. The courts just plain don’t like progressives in the 21st century. I would have thought they would 30 years ago. If this doesn’t prove how worthless the (quote) main stream media (unquote) is, I don’t know what would. Turn off your television and bask in the warmth of reality.

  8. #8 by Larry Bergan on January 16, 2008 - 11:02 am


    I would much prefer, (no kidding), to vote with rocks or even purple fingers then to count on secret machines, or as the faithful would say, “secret combinations.”

  9. #9 by caveat on January 16, 2008 - 11:55 am

    A fella I know is pretty involved in the training, set-up and operation of these machines. He has a confidence in thier ability to accurately count the vote. Any hack by any poll worker would swing a very small number of votes and would be insignificant tho no less a cheat. He sees the real problems existing further upstream, where the cumulatives are further processed. His take gives credence to Glenn’s oft repeated Stalin quote.

    As reguarding the Nevada debate: NBC is the Suxxor! If any candidate is not at least a budding corporate shill, (s)he won’t get a share of air-time. Somewhere I was led to believe that the airwaves and the media either belonged to or were at the service of fully informing the public. Yea, sure. Feh. It doesn’t speak very well of the three remaining hopefuls on a number of levels either. Not only does it trim the substance of the debate, it also shows that they are, even at this early stage, fully capable of throwing another down to the tracks. Thier day is coming, so I hope they have good luck when it happens to them.

  10. #10 by glenn on January 16, 2008 - 4:28 pm

    We have been relying on secret machinations for years now.

  11. #11 by glenn on January 16, 2008 - 4:48 pm

    How the govt’ fucks us.

    A short simple explanation of why current american democracy is just a sham.

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