At HuffPo, Jamie McGonnigal argues that the Anti-gay right is crumbling in a very public and very painful way:
Despite hate groups like the National Organization for Marriage and Family Research Council calling for “days of prayer” and for their followers to stand with them that morning on the steps of the court, no one came. I could count on one hand the number of people standing their with anti-gay signs. The rest was a sea of rainbows and love.[snip]
The anti-gay Right is disintegrating before our eyes and the desperation with which they are clinging onto life has never been more apparent. They will never be gone forever, though. Just as we’ve seen with groups that fought integration and some in the South who are still fighting the Civil War, they’re never gone for good.
With all due respect, I think McGonnigal is misreading the evidence.
The anti-gay right was braced for a loss at the Supreme Court. Despite the current Court being the most conservative in nearly a century, the anti-gay right sees the Court, in fact the entire judicial system, as overwhelmingly and hostile to conservative Christians. Wins are regarded as flukes, losses as ordinary and expected.
Almost immediately after the Prop 8 and DOMA decisions came down, the anti-gay right ramped up their rhetoric of Christian persecution. The half-truths and partial stories they’ve been trading around for years got a new lease on life.
The anti-gay right is entirely ready to write off a host of states and localities as lost causes – the East and West Coasts are “real America” anyway – and concentrate on defending “real America” against the coming onslaught. Anti-gay activists rushed op-eds to press assuring the faithful that DOMA and Prop 8 were their generation’s Roe v Wade decision, a momentary loss that will galvanize and motivate the faithful to fight harder and longer against the threat of fags getting married. In the context of the Boy Scouts’ decision to permit openly gay scouts, the right was already gearing up a new campaign built around their victimization.
The anti-gay right isn’t dead. They’re busily recalibrating, reorganizing and rallying. The theme of Christian “victimization” has been refined and prepped. Anti-gay folks are going to go in full throated proclamations about their supposed victimization at the hands of gays and lesbians. They’re going to go into full scale public scourging and wailing. Whether they’re losing or not, the anti-gay right is furious, hurt, and resentful and they’re going to lash out.
My instincts tell me its going to get very nasty.