The Reality: Zero Net In-migration From Mexico

Mexico border

While The Donald and the rest of the Tea-GOP are fond of freaking out over the supposed crisis caused by a massive influx of migrants to the USA from Mexico, the actual facts point to zero net migration from Mexico since 2010.

A combination of economic and demographic factors have changed the immigration trend, which is not likely to reverse again soon.

Barring truly massive shocks to the Mexican economy or political system, we are extremely unlikely to see another great wave of immigration for at least the next 20 year to 40 years. And that would only happen if Mexico reverses a half-century of declining fertility rates within the next few years.

Don’t expect to hear this from anybody in the Tea-GOP, even though it really might help them politically if the immigration issue went away.

  1. #1 by Larry Bergan on July 21, 2015 - 1:18 pm

    Where in the heck did you find that picture, Richard? Wherever you got it, it’s perfect!

    • #2 by Richard Warnick on July 21, 2015 - 4:29 pm

      Used the Google. It’s from the 1930s. Pith helmets have gone out of style since then.

      • #3 by Larry Bergan on July 21, 2015 - 7:13 pm

        Ha ha!

        They were still around in the fifties and sixties. My dad had two of them that he wore all the time.

        I wonder what they’re doing to that poor guy.

        • #4 by Richard Warnick on July 22, 2015 - 8:56 am


          • #5 by Larry Bergan on July 22, 2015 - 10:11 am

            Had to be before private prisons, so I guess the Americans wanted him for labor. It would be interesting to know what was happening there.

  2. #6 by It's a good start on July 22, 2015 - 6:14 am

    So zero net-in migration is not a problem over. Now we need to repatriate all the illegals who are still here. Secure the border. Tell people to leave. When Mexico and the US can play a soccer game in the Rose Bowl and for once it actually feels like a home game for the US, then the problem will be over.

    • #7 by Richard Warnick on July 22, 2015 - 9:01 am

      Donald Trump has a plan. Build a 1,954-mile wall, and make Mexico pay for it. You should vote for him.

      • #8 by Larry Bergan on July 22, 2015 - 10:18 am

        Bernie Sanders voted against the stupid wall. That’s who I’m voting for.

  3. #9 by Pablo on July 22, 2015 - 11:28 am

    Huzzah! This is what having a shit economy can do for illegal immigration.

    • #10 by Richard Warnick on July 22, 2015 - 1:12 pm

      That’s part of it. The other part is the declining Mexican birth rate. It used to be one of the world’s highest, now it’s 2.22 births per woman (2012) – and trending down. The USA is at 1.88, so without immigration our population would be shrinking.

      • #11 by Larry Bergan on July 22, 2015 - 2:58 pm

        I’m totally for population shrinkage without war. I’ve done my part by not increasing the population. I love humans, but I think there are more then enough around for the short term.

  4. #12 by It's a good start on July 22, 2015 - 10:09 pm

    Zero net migration means that for every 1 wealthy American from Minnesota who retires to San Miguel de Allende to a villa, one illiterate peasant from Chiapas moves to West 9th Street.

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