Last night’s Iowa caucus results have the political world atwitter.
The only good news from the Republican side is that Donald Trump did not win. Other than that, universally disliked Ted Cruz won and aggressive simpleton Marco Rubio pulled off third place behind Trump.
The Democratic side is more interesting.
Hillary Clinton is an impressive candidate. Almost the entire Democratic establishment supports her candidacy and, by all appearances, she barely pulled off ridiculously narrow victory over Bernie Sanders.
Clinton’s narrow win reveals an interesting paradox. The first viable female candidate for President is part and parcel of the establishment and an old white guy from New England is the insurgent outsider. Anyone who predicted that outcome would be regarded as slightly mad. Hillary Clinton is shrewd, intelligent, and puts in truly inhuman amounts of work. She’s a battle hardened veteran of decades of right wing smears and attacks. She’s probably one of the best policy minds we’ve seen. She is, however, a slightly awkward campaigner; she’s clearly uncomfortable with attack politics and so she often bungles her attacks.
Bernie, by contrast, is more of a wildcard. Younger voters respond to his message, but he seems to be more of a shoot from the hip kind of politician when it comes to tactical choices.
The smart money is still on a Clinton victory in the Democratic primary. But the next few months have some very interesting potential.